Thursday, January 3, 2008

My Biggest Suckout Ever

Taken from my grind notes at DNR...

(QJo) My biggest suckout ever! And thirty minutes into the new year…how am I going to top that for the rest of ’08? I knew I was making a bad call, I just didn’t know it was that bad. I was just messing around because he had a short stack and thought he might be protecting two pair or a set. Now I’m just annoyed that it wasn’t runner-runner perfect, as I did have two outs on the turn.

The suckout is funny, but it also speaks to how I'm letting stakes affect my play at the upper end of a stake level. I'm slightly underrolled for a full buy at .05/.10, but I'm way overrolled for .02/.04. A full buy is just 2% of my roll, and when a short stack with under 1% of my roll shoves like that, I'm much more inclined to shrug and call.

As of last night, I started playing with slightly less than a full buy at .05/.10 to re-instill a little fear in me so I stop it with the whole orange-belt shrug I'm inclined to do when less than 1% of my roll is at stake.


Sushi Cowboy said...

You have just burned up a lot of your credibility complaining about "Jason outs." Being .2% to win is drawing thin enough though Marsh's runner runner perfect straight flush on me was a little more dramatic.

Interesting that the he did not slowplay at all. Guy flops the stone cold nuts and doesn't try to massage chips out at all.

I'm sure that guy is going to be blogging about what a d0nk he ran into online.

Nice hand. (subtitle: hee haw!)

Marshall said...

I like the idea of moving up to avoid stagnation. The play is better at the next level, but not significantly so. I am pretty sure you will see about the same win rate at that next level. The key is to drop down if you run bad or have an adjustment period if you happen to lose a few buy ins at the beginning.