Last orbit of WNP (Tuesday edition). Dave raises to somewhere around 20(?), Ryan re-raises to 60. Dave makes a mini-speech about being tired enough to call. Definitely the feel of pair over pair pre-flop with Dave going set mining. I think Dave shoves with AK here and takes his chances seeing all five cards. I also think KK or AA is a Degree all-in moment. Flop comes out Jc 7c and off-suit rag. Dave shoves in the last of his stack which was a plaque and spare change. Do you HAVE to call with an overpair to the board here? Clearly there are no odds to catch a two outer if you are in fact behind a flopped set. I think Dave's range of hands that he could be shoving with would include set mine misses like TT. I can give Dave credit for shoving with a set as he has done before when was deeper stacked than he was in this case. I've also seen Dave shove with relatively nothing especially if is he first to stab. In this case, with a Jack high board, Dave should also realize that Ryan likely has an overpair and it will be very difficult for him to get away from that hand when it only costs him another hundred+ chips into an already 120 chip pot so he is almost certainly going to be looked up rendering a bluff to be somewhat pointless.
It's late in the session, there is a tendency for players to either double up or bust out. Dave has just pushed in for less than the pot. You have an overpair to the board and at least two clean outs. What is the analysis here?