Thursday, July 12, 2007
re: The Night of Sick Beats and Sicker Laydowns Hand #1
Why do I not f'in raise? First of all, I have already put you on a hand after your bet so I don't need to collect any more information. I gave you too much credit for your pair because I assumed I was notched and needed to catch up. I was also ready to raise your cbet if an Ace flopped and smooth calling will sell AK better. So the flop comes out 9 high. That's good and bad. We are both on overpairs to the board but I assume that I am still behind. Ryan bets, I flat call because raising is only going to balloon the pot and I'm assuming that I'm behind. Turn is a third club, low. Since I have Ryan on a pocket pair, I am positive he can't have a flush. He bets and I raise figuring that he can't call an *obvious* I-have-a-flush pot builder. At some point he checks his hole cards. Did not realize that he had a GSSFD. If a club comes on the river I am done with this hand but will pay a modest value bet just to confirm my read on his hole cards. If it is Jc then I'll pay a little extra. If the river is a blank then I think I can steal the hand from Ryan with a sizable bet on the end representing a flush and knowing he cannot have a higher flush. River is a glorious J and I know that I have the better hand here. The only pocket pair I'm losing to is pocket Sevens and that was absolutely too low a pocket for me to put Ryan on. It is checked to me for some reason? Ryan has been looking me up a lot lately so I try to figure out a good number. I take the $9.99 pricing philosophy and discount a little off of four stacks into a fairly decent sized pot by then. A little surprised Ryan calls (good thing I didn't need to sell a flush!) but I show down a hand that was ahead all the way anyway. Ryan feels better about that.